IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
South Carolina Upstate
Big South
2018-19

Overall
Predictive Rating	-11.7	#334
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	71.3	#113
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-1.9	#224

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-9.8	#353

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.5%	3.4%	0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.9	15.9	15.9

.500 or above	8.3%	37.2%	7.9%
.500 or above in Conference	19.4%	52.7%	19.0%
Conference Champion	1.0%	6.6%	0.9%
Last Place in Conference	31.9%	11.6%	32.1%

First Four	0.4%	3.2%	0.3%
First Round	0.3%	2.3%	0.3%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: South Carolina (Away) - 1.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0.0 - 0.7	0.0 - 0.7
Quad 1b	0.0 - 1.0	0.0 - 1.6
Quad 2	0.1 - 2.1	0.1 - 3.7
Quad 3	0.9 - 6.3	1.0 - 10.0
Quad 4	6.8 - 10.1	7.9 - 20.1

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2018	61	@ South Carolina	L	65-85	1%
Nov 14, 2018	310	@ VMI	L	75-78	29%
Nov 21, 2018	241	@ Portland	L	72-79	17%
Nov 23, 2018	203	Texas St.	L	66-75	20%
Nov 24, 2018	317	Cal Poly	L	74-76	42%
Nov 28, 2018	218	Gardner-Webb	L	72-80	32%
Dec 01, 2018	211	@ Western Michigan	L	73-82	15%
Dec 05, 2018	273	@ Eastern Kentucky	L	75-81	22%
Dec 08, 2018	123	Furman	L	70-85	15%
Dec 15, 2018	348	South Carolina St.	W	82-78	73%
Dec 22, 2018	38	@ North Carolina St.	L	73-95	2%
Jan 02, 2019	113	@ Georgia Tech	L	64-79	6%
Jan 05, 2019	319	@ Presbyterian	L	72-74	33%
Jan 10, 2019	149	Radford	L	64-77	20%
Jan 12, 2019	218	@ Gardner-Webb	L	72-80	17%
Jan 16, 2019	255	@ High Point	L	71-77	22%
Jan 19, 2019	194	Winthrop	L	76-86	29%
Jan 21, 2019	319	Presbyterian	L	72-74	53%
Jan 24, 2019	240	@ Hampton	L	78-85	19%
Jan 26, 2019	333	Longwood	L	76-77	59%
Jan 30, 2019	294	@ UNC Asheville	L	75-79	27%
Feb 02, 2019	232	Charleston Southern	L	71-79	35%
Feb 09, 2019	254	@ Campbell	L	75-81	22%
Feb 13, 2019	294	UNC Asheville	L	75-79	45%
Feb 16, 2019	333	@ Longwood	L	76-77	39%
Feb 21, 2019	232	@ Charleston Southern	L	71-79	18%
Feb 27, 2019	254	Campbell	L	75-81	39%
Mar 02, 2019	240	Hampton	L	78-85	36%
Projected Record						7.9 - 20.1	5.1 - 10.9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big South Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st											0.0	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0		1.0	1st
2nd										0.1	0.4	0.8	0.7	0.1	0.0	0.0			2.1	2nd
3rd									0.1	0.7	1.3	0.8	0.2	0.0					3.1	3rd
4th								0.1	0.7	2.1	1.3	0.1	0.0						4.3	4th
5th							0.0	0.8	2.7	1.8	0.2	0.0							5.5	5th
6th						0.0	0.9	3.2	3.0	0.5	0.0								7.5	6th
7th					0.0	0.6	3.9	4.5	0.8	0.0									9.8	7th
8th				0.0	0.7	4.3	5.5	1.3	0.0										11.9	8th
9th			0.0	1.2	5.2	5.8	2.1	0.1											14.5	9th
10th		0.2	2.6	6.3	6.8	2.3	0.3	0.0											18.4	10th
11th	2.1	6.0	7.0	5.2	1.5	0.1	0.0												22.0	11th

Total	2.1	6.2	9.6	12.7	14.2	13.2	12.6	9.9	7.3	5.2	3.2	1.9	1.2	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0			Total

Big South Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
15-1	99.3%	0.1		0.1
14-2	98.5%	0.2		0.2	0.0
13-3	61.5%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-4	21.9%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-5	9.7%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0
10-6	0.5%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
9-7	0.0%
8-8	0.0%

Total	1.0%	1.0		0.5	0.3	0.1	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	0.0%																							0.0
15-1	0.1%		39.0%	39.0%		15.0															0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
14-2	0.2%		19.3%	19.3%		15.6															0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2
13-3	0.4%		12.4%	12.4%		16.0															0.0		0.0	0.3
12-4	1.2%		6.6%	6.6%		16.0																0.0	0.1	1.1
11-5	1.9%		5.2%	5.2%		16.0																	0.1	1.8
10-6	3.2%		1.5%	1.5%		16.0																0.0	0.0	3.1
9-7	5.2%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.0	5.1
8-8	7.3%		1.0%	1.0%		16.0																	0.1	7.3
7-9	9.9%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	9.9
6-10	12.6%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	12.6
5-11	13.2%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	13.2
4-12	14.2%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	14.2
3-13	12.7%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	12.7
2-14	9.6%																							9.6
1-15	6.2%																							6.2
0-16	2.1%																							2.1

Total	100%		0.5%	0.5%	0.0%	15.9															0.0	0.0	0.5	99.5		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.6%